Development of crash-severity-index models for the measurement of work zone risk levels.

نویسندگان

  • Yingfeng Li
  • Yong Bai
چکیده

Highway work zones interrupt regular traffic flows and create safety problems. Improving safety without sacrificing the main function of highways is a challenging task that traffic engineers and researchers have to confront. In this study, the concept of using crash severity index (CSI) for work zone safety evaluation was proposed and a set of CSI models were developed through the modeling of work zone crash severity outcomes. A CSI is a numerical value between zero and one that is estimated from given work zone variables. It is interpreted as the likelihood of having fatality/fatalities when a severe crash occurs in a given work zone. The CSI models were developed using a three-step approach. First, a wide range of crash variables were examined in a comprehensive manner and the significant risk factors that had impact on crash severity were selected. Second, the CSI models were developed using logistic regression technique by incorporating the selected risk factors. Finally, the developed models were validated using the recent crash data and their ability in assessing work zone risk levels were analyzed. Results of this study showed that CSI models can provide straightforward measurements of work zone risk levels.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Modifying PIARC’s Linear Model of Accident Severity Index to Identify Roads' Accident Prone Spots to Rehabilitate Pavements Considering Nonlinear Effects of the Traffic Volume

Pavement rehabilitation could affect the accident severity index (ASI) since restoration measures means more safety for road users. No research or project has been carried out to identify hazard points to build a linear model based on crash severity index. One of the very popular accident severity index models used in all countries is based on linear models to rehabilitate pavements and this pa...

متن کامل

Planning Level Regression Models for Prediction of the Number of Crashes on Urban Arterials in Bangladesh

In most of the developing countries, the metropolitan organizations do not assess the safety consequences of alternative transportation systems and one of the reasons is the lack of suitable methodology. The goal of this paper is to develop practical tools for assessing safety consequences of arterial roads in the context of long-term urban transportation plans in Dhaka city, the capital of Ban...

متن کامل

ساختار رقابت صنعت، قدرت بازار و ریسک سقوط آتی قیمت سهام

این پژوهش با هدف بررسی تأثیرات رقابت در سطح صنعت و شرکت بر ریسک سقوط قیمت آتی سهام صورت پذیرفته است. بدین منظور دو فرضیه اصلی تدوین و نمونه‌ای متشکل از 67 شرکت به روش حذفی- سیستماتیک از بین شرکت‌های پذیرفته شده در بورس اوراق بهادار تهران انتخاب شد. برای اندازه‌گیری شاخص رقابت در صنعت از شاخص هیرفیندال- هیرشمن و تعداد شرکت‌های فعال در صنعت استفاده شد و برای سنجش رقابت در سطح شرکت از شاخص لرنر تع...

متن کامل

Work zone safety analysis and modeling: a state-of-the-art review.

OBJECTIVE Work zone safety is one of the top priorities for transportation agencies. In recent years, a considerable volume of research has sought to determine work zone crash characteristics and causal factors. Unlike other non-work zone-related safety studies (on both crash frequency and severity), there has not yet been a comprehensive review and assessment of methodological approaches for w...

متن کامل

Development of Models for Crash Prediction and Collision Estimation- A Case Study for Hyderabad City

Road traffic crash is a cause of unnatural death and occupies fifth position in the world as per WHO records. Road crashes in India are alarming in situation while road safety is professionally lacking and politically missing. Hyderabad city, the capital of newly formed Telangana State occupies sixth position in occurrence of road crashes. An attempt is made to understan...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • Accident; analysis and prevention

دوره 40 5  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2008